Welcome to the Daily Fantasy Sports NFL Top Plays. I will rank the players according to overall value, with DraftKings' scoring/salary in mind. These can typically be used on all sites, but use some common sense if another site scores differently or has a different salary. Remember, this is only a guide, and several factors may influence who you should select each day. Please keep in mind that unless noted, the weather is not taken into account and with NFL action, it can be a factor.
Week 12 is here, but before we look ahead to some picks for the Thanksgiving Day schedule, the results from Week 11 need reviewed. Let’s take a look at the hits and misses from last week.
At quarterback, Tom Brady (28.6 DKP) carved up the Raiders in Mexico City, while Mitchell Trubisky (15.5 DKP) proved to be a strong value play at the position. Alex Smith (9.9 DKP) and Eli Manning (8.7 DKP) both had their outputs hampered by 40+ mph winds in New York. Running back featured LeSean McCoy (28.6 DKP) finally bouncing back with a big game after a series of disappointing outings. Jamaal Williams (13.5 DKP) was a decent play for the price at home against the Ravens. Kareem Hunt (10.7 DKP) was a big letdown in a great matchup, especially considering the weather factors. Doug Martin (6.4 DKP) rounded out the disappointments at the position, as he saw his workload taper a bit in the second half. At receiver, Antonio Brown (45.4 DKP) led the way with a mammoth outing against the Titans. DeAndre Hopkins (17.6 DKP) and Michael Thomas (15.1 DKP) both turned in solid outings, while Dontrelle Inman (7.3 DKP) couldn’t quite get to value. Tight end featured Travis Kelce (20.9 DKP) coming through in a great matchup, with Cameron Brate (2.2 DKP) proving to be a disappointment yet again. Both defenses were great this week, as the Jaguars (23 DKP) and Steelers (15 DKP) both produced strong fantasy lines. Let’s focus on the Thanksgiving Day slate with some DFS NFL DraftKings Top Weekly Plays.
Kirk Cousins (WAS): $7,100 vs. NYG
Cousins is the top option at the position this week, as he faces a Giants’ defense who has allowed an average of 276 passing yards and two touchdowns per game over their last three outings. Cousins produced another great outing in Week 11 against the Saints, as he scored 28.98 DKP in a shootout. The Redskins are currently a touchdown favorite at home, and I like Cousins to produce yet again against the lowly Giants.
Philip Rivers (LAC): $6,100 @ DAL
Even the ultimate GPP play, Rivers sticks out as a decent option for those game formats this week, as the Chargers face a reeling team in the Cowboys. Dallas has allowed an average of just 227 passing yards per game over their last four, but they have allowed two touchdowns per contest in their last three. With the AFC West lead seemingly vulnerable for the Chiefs, the Chargers still have meaningful football to play and I expect Rivers to lead the way for Los Angeles.
Melvin Gordon (LAC): $8,100 @ DAL
The Eagles ran all over the Cowboys in Week 11, as they racked up 215 rushing yards and two touchdowns on the road in primetime. After some workload concerns with Austin Ekeler heading into Week 11, Gordon handled the bulk of the load and managed to produce 80 rushing yards and a touchdown against the Bills. Efficiency continues to be a bit of a concern for Gordon, but the matchup is good enough that I’m willing to overlook those worries in Week 12.
Jerick McKinnon (MIN): $5,200 @ DET
This is a good matchup for the Vikings’ running backs, but I am going to side with McKinnon over Latavius Murray, as I’d expect Murray’s ownership levels to spike after his Week 11 outing. The Lions have allowed an average of 144 rushing yards and 1.8 touchdowns per game over their last four contests, which includes consecutive games of allowing 200-plus rushing yards to the Browns and Bears. McKinnon actually was on the field for more of the offensive snaps than Murray, but it was the latter who found the end zone twice. McKinnon’s involvement in the passing game gives him an added boost, so look to him as a solid option in Week 12’s divisional showdown.
Samaje Perine (WAS): $5,000 vs. NYG
The Giants managed to keep the Chiefs from scoring a rushing touchdown in Week 11, but they still surrendered 134 yards on the ground. That kept their three week average at 161 yards per game allowed, so there’s plenty to like about the matchup for Perine in Week 12. With Chris Thompson out for the season, look for the rookie out of Oklahoma to receive as many touches as he can handle moving forward.
Alfred Morris (DAL): $4,800 vs. LAC
The Chargers continue to be vulnerable to opposing rushing attacks and with Alfred Morris showing some signs of life in Week 11, I don’t mind targeting him this week. Morris looked good with the touches that he received, as the veteran back carried 17 times for 91 yards. The Chargers are allowing an average of 135 rushing yards and one touchdown per game over their last three outings, and I think the Cowboys will try and exploit this as they look to get back on track.
Adam Thielen (MIN): $7,600 @ DET
Thielen continues to be a consistent force for the Vikings’ passing attack, as he’s posted consecutive outings of over 100 yards receiving. The volume is there on a weekly basis as well, with the wide out having received at least nine targets in each of his last five games. The results have been nothing short of spectacular, as Thielen has produced at least 20.8 DKP in three straight, while scoring a touchdown in each of those contests. This isn’t the most appealing matchup on paper, but the sheer volume in a full point per reception scoring format makes him a viable play.
Keenan Allen (LAC): $7,300 @ DAL
Allen is coming off of a monster outing in Week 11 in which he scored 43.2 DKP on 12 catches for 159 yards and two touchdowns. The scores were nice to see, as we typically don’t see that much from Allen. While I do think owners will chase his performance from last week, I think the game script could wind up favoring Allen again in Week 12. We cannot expect a repeat performance, but he typically carries a relatively stable floor outside of a shaky few weeks leading up to Week 11.
Dez Bryant (DAL): $6,400 vs. LAC
This is nothing more than a hunch, as the matchup certainly doesn’t scream deploying Bryant in Week 12. The volume has been there for Bryant, as he’s seen 22 targets in the two games since Ezekiel Elliott started his suspension. While Bryant hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 7 against the 49ers, I think that changes in a nationally televised game at home on Thanksgiving Day.
Ryan Grant (WAS): $3,700 vs. NYG
These smaller slates force you to go off of the beaten path a couple of times when constructing your lineups, and I think Grant is a good way to do so this week. Grant’s season high in receiving yards came all the way back in Week 1, but I think he’s worth taking a flier on in a good matchup against the Giants. While Kirk Cousins spreads the ball around, Grant did show some big play ability in Week 11 as he scored a 40 yard touchdown in the third quarter against the Saints. Again, the floor is low, but there’s enough upside for the price to justify taking a chance.
Evan Engram (NYG): $6,100 @ WAS
Engram caught just one of six targets for nine yards in Week 11, but I’m viewing this as an outlier until proven otherwise. Engram is still the most talented option in this passing attack, and he could create some problems for the Redskins in Week 12. Washington has allowed a receiving touchdown to a tight end in three straight games, and Engram is a good bet to make it four in a row on Thursday night.
Eric Ebron (DET): $3,100 vs. MIN
This is not a good matchup for Ebron and to further complicate matters, he was only on the field for 44% of the offensive snaps in Week 11. However, he did see seven targets while hauling in four of those for 49 yards. He’s entirely dependent on touchdowns right now for his value and that introduces all sorts of risk, but it’s one worth taking on a short slate. The Vikings tend to play downhill on defense, which can leave them exposed on the second level of routes at times, which could create an opportunity or two for Ebron in Week 12.
Washington Redskins (WAS): $3,600 vs. NYG
The Redskins are certainly not without their flaws on defense, but something will have to give Thursday night with the hapless Giants in town. Currently favored by a touchdown at home in a game with a moderate total, the Redskins fit the mold when trying to identify a defense to use.
Minnesota Vikings (MIN): $3,300 @ DET
The Lions have allowed the third-most sacks this season, which is something that could boost the Vikings’ defensive fantasy stock. Matthew Stafford has protected the ball well thus far (five interceptions), but the Vikings could produce some fantasy value by getting after the quarterback Thursday afternoon.