Welcome to the Daily Fantasy Sports NFL Top Plays. I will rank the players according to overall value, with DraftKings' scoring/salary in mind. These can typically be used on all sites, but use some common sense if another site scores differently or has a different salary. Remember, this is only a guide, and several factors may influence who you should select each day. Please keep in mind that unless noted, the weather is not taken into account and with NFL action, it can be a factor.
Week 11 is here, but before we look ahead to some picks for the 14 game schedule, the results from Week 10 need to be reviewed. Let’s take a look at the hits and misses from last week.
At quarterback, Cam Newton (35.7 DKP) exploded in primetime on Monday night, while Russell Wilson (19.4 DKP) also posted a solid outing on Thursday night. Eli Manning (17.9 DKP) was actually very serviceable given his price, while Ryan Fitzpatrick (11.4 DKP) failed to produce much of anything. Running back featured a little bit of everything, as Mark Ingram (34.1 DKP) proved to be an excellent play as mentioned in last week’s article, while Le’Veon Bell (16.2 DKP) didn’t quite hit value for his hefty salary. LeSean McCoy (9 DKP) failed to muster up much of anything as the Bills were blown out and Jordan Howard (5.4 DKP) wound up disappointing, as the Bears let Mitchell Trubisky throw a bit against the Packers. At receiver, things were fairly disappointing, as none of the four options scored more than 15 DKP. Demaryius Thomas (15.4 DKP) just missed value against the Patriots, while DeSean Jackson (14.2 DKP) eclipsed his value threshold against the Jets. On the bottom end of the scoring, Julio Jones (11.7 DKP) and Antonio Brown (7.7 DKP) were letdowns for the price. Tight end featured Rob Gronkowski (11.4 DKP) and Cameron Brate (2 DKP), with the former not hitting value, while the latter did absolutely nothing. The Buccaneers (14 DKP) were a fine option at defense for the price and ownership, with the Jaguars (5 DKP) a bit of a letdown. Let’s try and add a few more top performers to the overall mix this week and look at some DFS NFL DraftKings Top Weekly Plays.
Tom Brady (NE): $7,400 @ OAK
Brady and the Patriots will travel to Mexico City to face the Raiders in a game that features a high total of 52.2 points. While there could be some concerns over the transition to the high elevation, the Patriots did happen to be in Denver in Week 10, and they opted to stay for the week of practice, rather than return to Foxborough. This, along with a great matchup, lands Brady as my top overall player at the position in Week 11. Short of a 10.7 DKP outing in Week 1, Brady has scored at least 17 DKP in every game this season, which includes five outings of at least 20 DKP. His combination of a high floor with a great ceiling makes him an appealing play across all formats this week.
Alex Smith (KC): $6,700 @ NYG
Smith comes out of his bye week having tossed 18 touchdowns against just one interception, with his lowest output of the season 14.4 DKP. Week 11 presents a plus matchup against a Giants team who just lost to the previously winless 49ers in Week 10. Over their last three games, the Giants have allowed an average of 311 passing yards and three touchdowns per game, while ranking dead last in terms of fantasy points allowed per game to the position. If you don’t want to spend up for Brady, Smith is a fine consolation who shouldn’t kill your lineup with a dud of a performance.
Eli Manning (NYG): $5,700 vs. KC
Despite a $600 price increase from Week 10, I’m going to push the envelope and leave Manning here yet again for Week 11. He exceeded value last week in a good matchup, and I think he stands to do more of the same this week at home against the Chiefs. Kansas City ranks 27th on the season in terms of fantasy points allowed per game to quarterbacks, while they’ve allowed an average of 288 passing yards and two touchdowns per game over their last three games. There’s certainly risk with Manning due to his lack of overall talent available, but his price is still good enough to warrant consideration in tournament play.
Mitchell Trubisky (CHI): $4,500 vs. DET
If you’re looking to dig really deep in tournaments, give Trubisky a look this week. While the rookie has been sheltered for the most part in terms of passing attempts, the Bears have let him sling it a bit over the past two games (67 total attempts). You only need 13.5 DKP from Trubisky to hit value, and while I make that sound easy, it’s not out of the realm of possibility either. He scored 15.88 DKP last week against the Packers, and I think he can keep this momentum moving forward in Week 11. The matchup is relatively neutral against the Lions, so there’s nothing in that area that would dissuade me from using him. I certainly wouldn’t advocate using Trubisky if you have just one GPP lineup, but I don’t mind taking a flier if you have several lineups in play.
Kareem Hunt (KC): $8,000 @ NYG
Hunt is my top projected option at the position this week, as I’m not enamored with Le’Veon Bell’s matchup against the Titans on a short turnaround. While he could very well be force-fed the ball Thursday night, his price tag is prohibitive enough that I don’t mind saving $1,400 and pivoting to Hunt. The Giants represent a plus matchup for Hunt and the Chiefs’ rushing attacks, and I think Hunt will come out ready to roll after the likely much-needed bye week. The Giants have allowed an average of 151 rushing yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game over their last three games, and they rank 24th on the season in fantasy points allowed to running backs. This great matchup coupled with a fair price tag puts Hunt firmly in play in Week 11.
LeSean McCoy (BUF): $7,800 @ LAC
I’m tripling down on McCoy this week, as his price is down $900 from Week 9 when I started riding him in this article. He received just 11 total touches in last week’s debacle against the Saints, but I expect that to change in a big way this week. Toss in the news of Tyrod Taylor being benched in favor of Nathan Peterman, and you have even more reason to believe McCoy will be a workhorse against the Chargers. San Diego presents a difficult matchup for opposing quarterbacks, and with a change at the position, I think the Bills will lean on McCoy more this week. The Chargers have allowed an average of 100 rushing yards over their past three weeks, and they rank 26th in terms of fantasy points allowed per game to the position. This feels like a great spot to buy low on McCoy in what should be a positive game script for the running game.
Jamal Williams (GB): $4,900 vs. BAL
With Aaron Jones on the shelf and Ty Montgomery questionable to play in Week 11, look for Williams to find an expanded role against the Ravens. Even if Montgomery does play, there’s cause for concern as his rib injury appears to be an aggravation of the same injury earlier in the season. For these reasons, I look for Williams to carry the bulk of the load for the Packers in a decent matchup against the Ravens. Williams checks in as a top 10 value at the position in terms of dollars per projected point, and he is a viable source of salary relief as a result.
Doug Martin (TB): $4,500 @ MIA
Martin is my deep flier of the week at the position, as he draws a plus matchup on the road against the Dolphins. Miami was just gashed for 294 rushing yards and two scores in Week 11, and they have allowed five rushing touchdowns over their last four games. After getting benched of sorts in Week 9, Martin was back on the field for 50% of the offensive snaps in Week 10, and the back received 20 carries as a result. He was not efficient with those touches (2.55 YPC), but he should find an easier go of it this week, especially with Mike Evans returning to draw some of the opposition’s attention away from the running game.
Antonio Brown (PIT): $9,100 vs. TEN
While I prefer eschewing Le’Veon Bell on Thursday night, I actually don’t mind targeting Brown, who draws a more favorable matchup against the Titans. Tennessee ranks 25th on the season in terms of fantasy points allowed per game to opposing receivers, and this feels like a good spot for a bounce back after a tough Week 10 outing. Brown saw just seven targets last week, which was only the second time this season he’s failed to receive 10 or more looks. After a down week, he’s the top option at the position this week.
Michael Thomas (NO): $7,400 vs. WAS
There’s a vacuum after Antonio Brown in terms of pricing, as no other receiver is priced above $7,900 this week. Thomas is coming off of a big outing against the Bills in Week 10, in which the receiver scored 23.7 DKP, despite not finding the end zone. Touchdowns have been a problem for Thomas, as he has just two on the season, with his last one coming all the way back in Week 4. This looks like a slightly negative matchup on paper, but the Redskins have allowed six passing touchdowns and 601 passing yards over their last two games, with Case Keenum accounting for 304 yards and four scores last week. Drew Brees is obviously far better than Case Keenum, so I look for him and Thomas to continue the onslaught against the Redskins, with Thomas finally finding a touchdown in the process.
DeAndre Hopkins (HOU): $6,100 vs. ARI
Alright, stick with me here. I know Tom Savage isn’t the answer at quarterback, but his presence hasn’t destroyed Hopkins’ value completely. In fact, Hopkins has received 30 total targets over the last two weeks, while scoring at least 20 DKP in each game. In theory, you could make the argument that Hopkins is criminally underpriced, as he was $9,200 in Week 9. The Cardinals visit in Week 11, and they bring a defense who has surrendered an average of 256 passing yards and a touchdown over their last three games. While that’s not awful, it’s also not enough to dissuade me from heavily targeting Hopkins this week. In terms of dollars per projected point, he’s my top value at the position, and it’s not particularly close.
Dontrelle Inman (CHI): $3,200 vs. DET
It didn’t take long for Inman to establish himself as the best receiver on the Bears’ roster, but I’m not sure how much stock to put into that statement long term. Still, it’s tough to ignore what he did last week (14.8 DKP), coupled with a decent matchup this week. On top of that, his price moved up just $200, so he’s an excellent value as well. Much like Mitchell Trubisky, I wouldn’t lean on Inman if you have just one lineup, but if you are constructing multiple rosters, the salary relief is very useful this week.
Travis Kelce (KC): $7,300 @ NYG
Don’t look now, but Kelce has scored at least 20 DKP in consecutive outings, and I think he’s a good bet to make it three in a row in Week 11. The Giants have allowed a receiving touchdown to a tight end in each of their last three games, and they rank dead last on the season in terms of fantasy points allowed per game to the position. Kelce is expensive this week, but he’s worth it in a juicy matchup.
Cameron Brate (TB): $4,200 @ MIA
Brate has scored a combined 3.9 DKP over his last two games, but I think he’s in a good spot to finally bounce back this week. The Dolphins have allowed a receiving touchdown to a tight end in three out of their last four games, and they rank 28th in fantasy points allowed to the position on the season. The Buccaneers are certainly a different team with Ryan Fitzpatrick at the helm, but I don’t think Brate will stay down for much longer.
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX): $4,000 @ CLE
The Jaguars will be pretty chalky in cash games this week, and it’s tough to argue with the logic. They will face the hapless Browns, who are still searching for their first win. DeShone Kizer threw another interception last week, raising his total to 12 on the season, so there’s upside to be had in the takeaway department.
Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT): $3,200 vs. TEN
The Steelers are currently a touchdown favorite at home in a game that features a total of 44 points, which is exactly what you’re looking for when selecting a defense. The Steelers possess the second-best pass defense, while they have allowed just eight passing touchdowns on the season, so you have to like their prospects for a solid game this week, especially at this price.