Welcome to the Daily Fantasy Sports MLB Top Daily Plays. I will rank the players according to overall value, with FanDuel’s scoring/salary in mind. These can typically be used on all sites, but use some common sense if another site scores differently or has a different salary. Remember, this is only a guide, and several factors may influence who you should select each day. Please keep in mind that unless noted, weather is not taken into account and with MLB action, it can really be a factor.
11 games greet us for the main slate tonight, with the weather not looking to play a big role. There’s a little bit of everything to be had tonight, with some pitchers in good spots as well as plenty of hitters in plus situations. This should lead to a fun night of fantasy production, so let's look at some DFS MLB FanDuel Top Daily Plays.
***Weather issues: Twins/Yankees, Cardinals/Reds, Athletics/Tigers***
***STACK TARGETS: Astros, Cardinals, Dodgers, Red Sox, Nationals, Mariners, Blue Jays, Royals, Brewers, Indians***
Chris Sale (BOS): $11,600 @ BAL
BAL vs. LHP season: (7th wRC+, 23.1% K rate)/BAL vs. LHP last 30 days: (4th wRC+, 20.1% K rate)/BAL vs. LHP last 14 days: (28th wRC+, 24.2% K rate)
Will the real Chris Sale please stand up? As has been a bothersome trend throughout his career, Sale continues to be an inconsistent asset in the final two months of the season. This matchup is a tricky one, as the Orioles have been strong against lefties on the season and over the past month, but they’ve struggled as of late. While Sale has been tough to predict as of late, he still possesses elite strikeout upside, and I think that helps to keep him in the conversation as a top option tonight.
Robbie Ray (ARI): $11,400 @ SD
SD vs. LHP season: (28th wRC+, 25.1% K rate)/SD vs. LHP last 30 days: (18th wRC+, 24.2% K rate)/SD vs. LHP last 14 days: (6th wRC+, 23.7% K rate)
Ray is in the midst of an incredible stretch of pitching, as he’s struck out at least nine hitters in each start since coming off of the disabled list on August 24th. Over that span, he sports a 1.39 ERA to go with a sterling 0.77 WHIP. He stands to continue his dominance, as he faces a strikeout happy San Diego offense in a plus pitching environment. As crazy as it sounds, Ray might edge out Chris Sale as my preferred option tonight.
Alex Wood (LAD): $9,400 @ PHI
PHI vs. LHP season: (26th wRC+, 21.2% K rate)/PHI vs. LHP last 30 days: (20th wRC+, 24.2% K rate)/PHI vs. LHP last 14 days: (24th wRC+, 24.0% K rate)
Shifting down a few tiers on the pricing spectrum, Wood checks in as a top target tonight. While he may not possess the same strikeout upside as Chris Sale or Robbie Ray, he still projects out as an above average option, especially for the price. The Phillies rank in the bottom third of the league against lefties, while they have struck out at an above average clip as of late. Philadelphia carries the lowest implied run total of the night right now, and Wood is a big favorite on the road. He’s a very good pivot away from the two options listed above.
Steven Brault (PIT): $6,600 vs. MIL
MIL vs. LHP season: (21st wRC+, 25.8% K rate)/MIL vs. LHP last 30 days: (15th wRC+, 23.6% K rate)/MIL vs. LHP last 14 days: (16th wRC+, 21.8% K rate)
Brault tossed six strong innings of shutout ball in his last start, which happened to be against this same Milwaukee team last week. He will look to repeat that performance at home this time, against a Brewers’ offense who has been average against lefties over the past month. If you’re searching for a cheaper option in tournaments with some upside, give Brault a look tonight.
Astros Stack vs. James Shields
Jose Altuve (2B): $4,000
George Springer (OF): $3,700
Josh Reddick (OF): $3,600
Carlos Correa (SS): $3,500
Yuli Gurriel (1B): $3,400
Marwin Gonzalez (SS): $3,000
Load ‘em up!!! The Astros possess a Coors Field-esque run total of over six, as they host the gas can who is James Shields. Given the matchup, all of the hitters listed above are rather reasonable in terms of salary. Reddick is on a tear as of late, as he’s hitting .400 over the last two weeks. Carlos Correa is the one hitter who has scuffled as of late, but this is too good of a matchup to pass up a full stack.
Dodgers RHB @ Phillies vs. Jake Thompson
Justin Turner (3B): $4,200
Yasiel Puig (OF): $3,400
Logan Forsythe (2B/3B): $2,800
It’s a small sample, but Jake Thompson has really struggled with same-handed hitters, having allowed a .418 wOBA on the heels of a 34.2% hard contact rate. While Forsythe continues to struggle at the plate, I think he deserves consideration as part of a mini-stack if he can crack the lineup tonight. The Dodgers have an implied run total over five, and this is a good spot to target a weak pitcher.
Cardinals Stack @ Reds vs. Rookie Davis
Matt Carpenter (1B): $4,100
Tommy Pham (OF): $3,600
Dexter Fowler (OF): $3,500
Paul DeJong (SS): $2,900
Jose Martinez (OF): $2,500
Davis struggles with control and is very hittable, so this feels like a good spot to target a Cardinals’ offense who could fly under the radar just a bit. They will get a good park shift in their favor as well, which has led to an implied team total in the mid-5s. Fowler in particular is back to getting on base for the Cardinals as of late, which is a positive sign after an injury-riddled season.
Hanley Ramirez (1B): $2,600 @ Orioles vs. Wade Miley
There’s a chance Ramirez returns to the lineup tonight, and while risk always exists when targeting a player who is returning from injury, it’s one worth taking at this price. Ramirez sports a solid .219 ISO against lefties this season, and Wade Miley is very susceptible to right-handed hitters. On the season, Miley is allowing a .372 wOBA, and has dished out 21 home runs to right-handed hitters.
Josh Donaldson (3B): $4,200 vs. Jakob Junis
Donaldson is rip-roaring hot right now, as he’s clubbed five home runs over his last 10 games, while hitting .361 over that span. He’s a phenomenal tournament target tonight, as he will face a pitcher in Jakob Junis who has allowed a 39.5% hard contact rate to right-handed hitters. That can be a recipe for disaster against a slugger of Donaldson’s caliber, especially with him this hot.
Batter vs. Pitcher
Freddie Freeman (1B): $4,100 @ Nationals vs. Gio Gonzalez
If you’re searching for a first baseman who could go low owned in tournaments, give Freeman a look tonight. Not only is he too cheap given his recent production, but he also sports a solid history against Gio Gonzalez. In 42 career at-bats, Freeman has 13 hits (.310 AVG) with three home runs. Gonzalez is very tough on lefties, but Freeman is no slouch at the dish against same-handed pitching (.376 wOBA/.250 ISO). It will be an interesting matchup, and one that could propel your team should Freeman produce.